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Why can't I make money while understanding cryptocurrency? Besides strength, opportunities are

梦中人 2025-04-27 17:06:00 链资讯已有人查阅

导读Author: Puffy Compiled: Deep Tide TechFlow Independent thinking Less than 5% of people can truly achiev...

Author: Puffy Compiled: Deep Tide TechFlow

Independent thinking

Less than 5% of people can truly achieve independent thinking, and this ability often requires the following steps:

Establish a solid epistemological foundation, collect raw data, apply meta rules to narrow down the scope of strategies, and clarify the relationships between things

These steps are very difficult for most people. They have never tried, do not know where to start, have no relevant experience, and have no confidence in making their views stand out in the noise of the outside world.

If you don't have this trait, you basically have no way to start in the cryptocurrency field. Even the simplest and most logically related datasets (such as the LTC chart - the first altcoin, and the 'code' followed by all subsequent currencies) can be as complex as unsolved mysteries to you.

Intelligence quotient and relationship processing ability

Intelligence is, in a sense, a shared ability. You need to understand the intentions of the question setter and comprehend the relationship they are trying to convey.

In the cryptocurrency market, the questioner is the participant of the entire market. People with high intelligence can quickly discover relationships that others may never notice.

For example, attempting to explain the equation 3x=6 to a dog is meaningless because it cannot understand abstract concepts such as' dividing both sides by 3 simultaneously '.

Similarly, can you 'see' the distribution of emotions, book gains and losses, and overall trends behind a chart by observing it? If possible, you can infer the future market direction from it.

Powerful strategic thinking (Meta game)

Many smart people may be able to think independently and discover relationships, but their overall strategic thinking is very weak.

Here are some typical failure cases:

Developers: They believe that their technical abilities can bring them market advantages. Thought leaders: Despite their high status, their past investment records are dismal. Successful individuals, such as Paul Graham, can they really find the right investment answers? The eliminated population: This almost happens to everyone, just like professional athletes eventually lose their peak form.

Human beings are inherently flawed and unable to fully understand and accurately model complex market systems. To avoid these pitfalls, you need strong strategic thinking to help you filter information and assign its importance.

Risks in execution

Successful execution requires the following basic abilities:

Most people with startup capital are already relatively stable in their lives and cannot easily invest their funds in high-risk cryptocurrency trading. If you have a happy family life and a respected profession, the potential benefits of participating in cryptocurrency trading may far outweigh the potential risks. There are many classic pitfalls in trading, even those with advantages may fall into them, such as treating profits as "casino money" and trying to find someone with a firm will who can spend $300 to buy SHIB (Shiba Inu Coin) and sell it to $30 million, with the same attitude as when transferring $30 million from family assets to purchase the same amount of SHIB. Taking action when needed, every market repeats the same pattern, where people "know" they are in a bad trade, a bad position, a bad situation, but they do nothing. Oh, it's down 40%, oh, it's down 70%, oh, it's down 65% from its historical high (ATH), oh, it's down 85%, what should I do.

How to avoid bankruptcy caused by external factors

Looking at the list of major holders of Bitcoin, how many people do you think still hold onto their Bitcoin?

980000 pieces, Satoshi Nakamoto。 400000 pieces, HD Moore (AHA)。 400000 pieces, Dustin D. Trammell (AHA)。 400000 pieces, Tod Beardsley (AHA)。 350000 pieces, also known as "Dread Pirate Roberts" or "DPR". 300000 pieces, Roger Ver。 300000 pieces, “knightmb”。 200000 pieces, Mark Karpeles。 182592 pieces, “Loaded”。 174000 pieces, FBI (Federal Bureau of Investigation). 119000 pieces, Three members of AsicMiner management team (specific names unknown).

Common reasons for bankruptcy include:

Hacked Exchange Embezzles User Assets (Numerous Similar Cases) Legal Disputes Tax Issues

Why do almost every core figure in the cryptocurrency field end up either receiving legal subpoenas, disappearing under suspicious circumstances, or being scammed or arrested? In fact, preserving wealth is not an easy task. If you want to keep your Bitcoin forever, it seems that "early death" is the safest way (ironic here).

So how do people get rich through cryptocurrency?

Most people who have become wealthy through cryptocurrency actually have a significant misunderstanding of the market, but they happen to seize the opportunity at a critical moment.

Many people invest in Bitcoin for reasons such as' you can use it to buy coffee 'or' fight inflation ', or other popular statements every cycle, but these reasons have not actually been fulfilled.

If you think that Bitcoin is a novel proof of concept technology in 2010 or 2012, it has accumulated actual demand through the dark network market, proved its feasibility, and gradually triggered a series of speculative foam, then your judgment is correct. However, there were not many people who held this view at that time.

Some people invested in ETH very early on simply because their high school poker friends told them it could be used to support decentralized gaming or other application scenarios. Some people still believe that ETH will become an unstoppable smart contract platform (until the ETC fork event occurs).

However, almost all of these ideas have not been truly realized. The vast majority of early 'whales' either sold their assets at low prices or experienced up to 95% asset shrinkage. This shows that they lack a profound understanding of market operations, let alone clear investment strategies.